As a
candidate, George W. Bush criticized President Clinton for
overextending the military. Bush promised that, if elected, he would
review US commitments around the world, with an eye towards bringing
as many troops home as possible.
Yet today the US global military presence is perhaps more pervasive
than ever before.
In part this is due to the war on terrorism. US units are settling
into new bases in and around Afghanistan on a semi-permanent basis.
Hundreds of other US soldiers will soon arrive in the Philippines to
help fight local terrorists linked to Al Qaeda.
But it also stems from the fact that a generation of Washington
policymakers has come to see the US as an indispensable force in many
troubled regions. Thus Camp Bondsteel, in Kosovo, today still houses
thousands of US troops. Ten years after the Gulf War, US bases still
dot Southwest Asia.
"It makes me nervous that, like the British, we've acquired an
empire in a fit of absent-mindedness," says John Pike, a national
security expert at GlobalSecurity.org. The key aspects of today's US
military deployments, according to Pike, are their scope, and their
durability.
During World War II, the US shipped many more uniformed personnel
around the world than it has today. But that was clearly a temporary
situation. The vast majority came home when Japan and Germany were
defeated.
During the Cold War, the US deployed large numbers of troops on
open-ended missions to contain communism. But most were concentrated
in western Europe. Many of those bases were shut since the fall of the
Berlin Wall.
In 2002, US forces are spread from Kosovo to Kuwait to Korea. In
many of these places, they are permanently integrated into the local
security structure.
"They're not just a bunch of guys passing through," says
Pike.
Take the case of Afghanistan. US forces in the region will surely
be reduced in months ahead as the last remnants of the Taliban are
rounded up. But the military is unlikely to leave altogether. The
Pentagon is creating an infrastructure of bases and political
agreements that could lead to a US presence in the region that lasts
years.
One key installation is the Manas airfield, near Bishkek, the
capital of the former Soviet republic of Kyrgyzstan. US engineers are
transforming it into a transportation hub capable of housing and
handling thousands of troops -- yet it is only 200 miles from China.
The US is pouring concrete for runways, installing communications
equipment and rough housing, or doing some other sort of improvement
work at some 13 locations in nine countries in the central Asian
region, including Uzbekistan and Pakistan.
Asked on January 14 whether the US now anticipates a long-term
military presence, or increased military engagement, in the area,
Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz said "for sure".
The US already views its relationship with Uzbekistan and Pakistan
differently than it did before September 11, said Wolfowitz, for both
the short and long term.
It's not clear whether the US will have to deal with a continuing
military threat in Afghanistan. But beyond that, commanders want to be
able to return quickly if trouble develops again. The US wants the
region's nations to know that it is still interested in their welfare.
"We're not just going to forget about them now that we've
found them very useful," said Wolfowitz.
Similar calculations have led to the continued US presence in
Kosovo and the Gulf, say other experts. It's easy to say the US
shouldn't be the world's policeman -- and many politicians and
officials have. But to withdraw, once engaged, is to risk irrelevance.
If the US were to reduce its military footprint in the Gulf, for
instance, it might lose influence over the world oil market, find it
harder to defend Israel, and become less important to the Middle East
peace process.
"We shouldn't kid ourselves that we can exercise global
influence on the cheap," says Stephen M. Walt, a professor of
international affairs at Harvard's John F. Kennedy School of
Government.
That does not mean all US commitments are unassailable, adds Walt.
Indeed, some have argued that the lesson of September 11, in part,
is that the US needs to reduce its global presence. Al Qaeda terrorist
attacks were a violent reaction to American preeminence, they say.
In an article in the current issue of The Atlantic Monthly,
Benjamin Schwarz and Christopher Layne propose a new grand strategy
for the US which involves passing the buck for enforcing security in
troubled regions to Europe, Japan, and other US allies.
The strategic point of many US deployments is both to enforce order
and prevent other nations, including US friends, from becoming strong
enough to do so. [ Jacq' says,
“What?” ]
Yet "the adult supervision, of the world is an enormously
expensive and complex undertaking," write Schwarz and Layne.